Following the:
Questions to Michael Karadjis.
Hi Ιωάννη
At
the moment I’ll just respond to your first 3 questions – the Syria
question is more major, and I also have a great deal more knowledge and
conviction in relation to those important questions related to the whole
course of the revolution, so I’ll leave that to a special response a
little later.
On the imperialism questions, I hardly claim to be an
expert but am happy to offer my opinions:
1.
Is the new imperialist world multipolar or (potentially) (again) bipolar?
I
guess by bipolar you mean, is the Ukraine war pushing together US and
European imperialism on one side and Russian and Chinese imperialism on
the other side? Or do you simply mean, despite Ukraine, the real major
imperialist rivals are only the US and China? Either way, I wouldn’t go
so far, but I tend towards the second interpretation.
I think there is
serious inter-imperialist rivalry between the US and China; oddly, the
Ukraine war comes as something of an aberration. Perhaps that’s not
logical – obviously Putin must have been planning this for some time
aware that it would put Russia into heightened conflict with the West.
But from the US and EU point of view, it has remained business as usual
with Russia despite the annexation of Crimea, the war in Donbas, the
slaughter in Syria etc.
Yes there were mild sanctions after Crimea, but
so mild that no-one noticed; not only was Russia the major supplier of
oil and gas to Europe, but nearly all European powers sold weapons to
Russia; the US was somewhat more hawkish, but still for the most part it
was business as usual, with a great deal of direct cooperation in Syria
in particular. If the US was engaged in a “war drive against Russia” as
“anti-imperialists” claim, it is funny that there was zero build-up in
Eastern Europe right up until the Russian invasion. The US rivalry with
Russia was, kin my view, more about US rivalry with the much more
economically powerful (compared to Russia) EU; the US, since the 1990s,
has feared a Eurasia-wide EU-Russia economic-military convergence that
would freeze out the US and give more teeth to an economically powerful
Europe. But as long as the S can keep this at bay (which Putin has just
done for the US!), China remains the key US rival, not the EU nor
Russia.
Nevertheless,
Putin has forced a new West-Russia rivalry onto both the US and the EU,
so we can hardly deny that at this moment there is a serious clash
between US-EU and Russia!
But
has the EU become completely subservient to the US? And has China lined
up completely with Russia? I would say no to both. China has not voted
for Russia in any UN resolution, and is not helping Russia other than by
buying its oil, something China would buy from anyone. There is still
underlying rivalry between China and Russia, eg, China’s ‘Belt and Road’
across southern Asia to Europe competes with the Russian-EU connection
to some extent, and Putin has just boosted the ‘China road’. Meanwhile,
China is happy to see the US get bogged down in Europe over Ukraine
rather than spend too much energy in east Asia and the Pacific. And
while NATO has been boosted and US hegemony over Europe seems stronger
than at any time for 30 years, the overtures of France, Germany and
Italy to Putin reveal a different underlying view and interests. Yes
Germany used the crisis to double its defence budget and announce a
‘return of Germany’, but since ahs sent very little to Ukraine; an
increased German military actually adds to the spectre more long term of
a more independent Europe.
So my view is it is somewhat mixed, but with one major rivalry (US v China).
2.
Is the territorial-centric aspect of the new "Eastern" imperialism (as
its reactionary aspect) a complementary or an essential element of it?
By
“Eastern” I assume you mean Russian? Because China for example has not
annexed anywhere (well, except for the islands in the South China Sea
formerly belonging to Vietnam, over several decades, but small islands
that no-one in the world notices are hardly similar to a massive country
like Ukraine). Meanwhile, China’s economic imperialism, without
territorial conquest, now takes place on a massive global scale.
I
guess for Russia it is a bit of both – ‘complementary’ in the sense
that Russia does already engage in economic imperialism, especially in
parts of the Mideast and Africa so it is not purely
‘territorial-centric’, but ‘essential’ in as much as Russia’s economic
reach is so limited compared to the US, Europe or China.
I think an
imperialist superpower like Russia refuses to see itself as weaker, or
as ‘hemmed in’ geographically by Europe on one side and China on the
other;
I believe domination of the Black Sea both for its resources and
as a strategic waterway was seen as virtually do-or-die for Russian
imperialism’s unrealistic aims of equality with other major
imperialisms. It is arguably at odds with a more rational capitalist
integration of Russia into Europe as part of ‘Eurasia’, but one which
would not be dominated by the world’s new ‘Peter the Great’.
I think
we’re partly dealing with the subjective factor here alongside Russia’s
underlying economic weakness.
Russia has this in common with certain other small-scale imperialist powers, above all Israel.
3.
The necessary alliance with the "enemy of the enemy" is a cause of the
alienation of the sectarian anti-imperialists of the West, but does it
not also pose a danger to the leftists of the East "from the other way
around"? Beyond wishful thinking, how and when will the peoples of the
whole world meet, when they are thus divided into opposing, necessarily,
allied formations?
I’m
sure it poses the same problem for leftists in the East in reverse, in
seeing Western ‘liberal’ imperialism as preferable, perhaps even tending
to fall in behind the absurd rhetoric of ‘democracy versus autocracy’,
as if the US does not continue to support bloody dictatorships,
tyrannical monarchies and apartheid regimes. The more conscious leftists
we are in touch with in Ukraine for instance are very well-aware of
this, but it’s hard to be sure how widespread illusions may be. Of
course, this is also a danger for leftists in the West who rightly
reject the sectarian “anti-imperialist” shilling for Putin and other
reactionary regimes on ‘the other side’ but out of disgust go one step
too far. We need to be very aware of this danger and to reject it.
Just
at this moment tough, the problem is that it is Russia invading and
occupying a large country, so there is a need to get that defeated. In
2003, it was the US, in Iraq. The US has just been driven from
Afghanistan. Israel continues to occupy Palestine, but this has not been
an ‘East-West’ division, with Putin’s excellent relations with Israel
and China, which bought the port of Haifa, having massive economic
relations with Israel; and in any case this is an ongoing issue.
Likewise the Saudi atrocities in Yemen; Saudi Arabia has excellent
relations with both Russia and China and has refused to condemn Russia
in the UN, and likewise Russia supports the Saudi-backed Yemeni
government as the legitimate government (as does China). The acute world
focus now is Ukraine, which both gives us western leftists
responsibilities to support Ukraine evicting the Russian occupation,
while also not letting up on the crimes of western imperialism and its
smaller allies like Israel and Saudi Arabia.
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